Archive for July, 2010

I Miss the GOP

July 29th, 2010

I miss the rational right of center political voice that balanced the liberal leaning left.  I miss the party that had a plan.  Granted, the plan was generally business friendly and fiscally conservative, but it was the appropriate counterweight to the Democrats proposals to empower and support people and protect the environment.

There was a collective recognition of the natural ebb and flow of politics.  Power shifted back and forth between the parties, but both sides sought compromises as best they were able, and ultimately cooperated at least to some degree to solve problems.

That train left the station about a decade ago, and it ain’t comin’ back.

The GOP seems ever more focused on political power for it’s own sake.  They take it personally when they lose at the polls and they want retributions for those rebukes.  The result has become a party whose only apparent function is to demonize the Democrats and impede progress.  They have become the neighborhood kid who owns the football.  And they are not letting anyone play with it unless they get to be quarterback.  If they aren’t in charge, then no one has fun.

They correctly recognize that the coming 2010 and 2012 elections will in large part be determined by the economy.  If the economy remains stalled and unemployment remains high until 2012, then they will do well at the polls.  If the economy recovers, then they are toast.  As a result, they are committed to doing everything in their power to assure we are all still suffering two years hence.

In case that sounds far-fetched, consider what John Boehner told the Christian Science Monitor when asked what his top three priorities would be should the GOP retake the House and he becomes Speaker.  Boehner’s plan (and by extension, the GOP’s plan) is to repeal the healthcare bill, make sure no sort of energy reform is passed, and extend the Bush tax cuts.  In essence, the plan is to erase the Obama administration and go back to where we were in 2008.  Then sit there until it all gets better.

Still not convinced?  Consider the increasing calls from GOP mouthpieces to open investigations or even move toward impeachment of Obama.  If that’s not loony enough for you, consider the Iowa Republican Party platform.  Note, this is not some Tea Party fringe group, but the statewide party platform.  Among other things it advocates for ratification of the original 13th Amendment to the Constitution.  The original 13th was not the repeal of slavery, but a never ratified proposal to revoke the citizenship of anyone accepting a title of nobility from a foreign government.  Why are they advocating this?  Because there is a belief that Obama’s acceptance of the Nobel Peace Prize can be used to revoke his citizenship and oust him from office.

This is insane, and it is not remotely helpful.  Following eight years of Clinton witch hunts that finally nailed the guy on lying about a tryst with an intern, the Democrats turned the other cheek and declined the opportunity to pursue Bush and/or Cheney for launching a war on fabricated data and then repeatedly violating the Geneva Convention and international laws regarding torture.  As a response, the GOP is now pledging to start the witch hunts anew on Obama if they are restored to power.  The olive branch meant nothing.  And next time it likely won’t be extended, meaning we can likely look forward to Democrats becoming less cooperative and more openly hostile to the next GOP administration.  Lovely.

Is this the world we want to live in?  These are supposed to be political parties not warring factions.  These are supposed to be statesmen, but they are acting more like a teenage girl whose BFF just dissed her on Facebook.

Time in a Bottle

July 28th, 2010

TardisTime travel is one of those things that seems so simple until you think about it too much and then your brain just hurts. It isn’t so much the mechanics of traveling in time.  It doesn’t really matter if you prefer to travel in a DeLorean, a phone booth, a TARDIS, or a starship slingshot around the sun.  In a pinch you can even use an enchanted pocket watch or even the occasional hot tub.  After all, while Einstein’s relativity predicts it should be possible, his equations didn’t specify the type of vehicle required.  Yet it’s the mind bending implications of what happens once you do start hopping about on the timeline that are really interesting.

The implications of being able to travel in time depend entirely on the assumptions you make about how time is woven together.  And this is something humans currently don’t understand, which gives you a lot of latitude to be ridiculously creative.  This is maybe why it is a frequent dinner table topic at my house.

Most often in fiction, time is seen as a dependent tapestry of sorts.  If you go back and make changes, then your future is disrupted.  The most obvious problem here being the famed “grandfather paradox.”  Suppose you went back in time and killed your grandfather before your father was ever born.  Then you would not have been born.  So you couldn’t have gone back in time to kill your grandfather.  So he’s still alive, and you are born… except that you killed him.

There are other silly implications of the tapestry model which Bill & Ted’s Excellent Adventure had great fun with, and Dr. Who inexplicably adopted for their most recent season finale.  Assuming you have access to a time machine, you can effect instantaneous changes to the present by simply deciding that at some point in the future you’ll go back into the past and effect the change.  Suppose you find yourself locked out of your house.  You could decide that later today you’ll pop back to yesterday and hide the spare key under the plant on the porch.  Voila!  The key is now there when previously it wasn’t.  So basically, as soon as you get your hands on a flux capacitor, you can perform magic.  Cooler yet, you will have always been able to perform magic.  And since you can’t, it means you never will.  Another dream shot to hell.

To get around this, some physicists have proposed a quantum model of time.  Essentially it posits that time is not linear, but rather branches out at each instance to allow for all possible outcomes.  So when you go back and make a change, it’s not really a change since both the reality with the change and without the change co-exist.  Aside from the brain cramp induced by trying to conceive of a tree with infinite branches each in turn having infinite child branches and so on out until infinity, this creates the WTF paradox.  In essence, any time you are confronted with a decision, it doesn’t matter what you do because the mere existence of the decision point means you made all available choices in one of the parallel universes.  So why sweat the choice?  I mean, WTF?  Is your grandpa alive or dead?  Well, yes.

Along comes Seth Lloyd at MIT who has another model for all this timey-wimey stuff.  Since quantum outcomes are all probabilistic, Lloyd’s theory is that probabilities are altered to prevent paradoxes.  That is, the universe actually enforces rules against time travel paradoxes by making paradox inducing actions improbable.  This is all predicated on the existence of “closed timelike curves”.  These structures are information pathways across space-time that link paradoxical events.  In essence, should you try and go back and kill your grandfather, the chances of the bullet being a dud or the gun misfiring become a statistical certainty.  Basically, the universe will simply not allow you to ruin your grandmother’s day.

Einstein’s equations allow for these closed timelike curves, and Lloyd’s team has even done some experiments with photons demonstrating that quantum statistics are demonstrably altered when paradoxical possibilities are introduced.  This is a far cry from proof about how time works, but it is one of the more promising steps I’ve seen, and so far it makes my brain hurt less than the other possibilities.  And understanding the nature of time is somewhat of a prerequisite to doing a time-ship conversion on an old British police box.

Pass the salad please?

A Moon Too Far

July 27th, 2010

Two days before I was born President Kennedy issued a challenge before Congress to put a man on the moon and return him safely to Earth by the end of that decade.  With six months to spare, an eight-year old me watched fuzzy images of astronauts stepping onto another world.  Mission accomplished.  In 2005 dollars, the Apollo program was estimated to have cost $170 billion.  It required the unwavering bipartisan support of Congress across four elections, and the support of three Presidents.  Add to that, the space program was commensurate with one of the most unpopular wars in US history, a time of great social unrest, and also the dawn of one of the most sweeping social entitlement programs.

Man on MoonToday’s question is, do you think we could possibly pull off a moon mission scale project today?  That is, if we set forth a national project that was financially non-trivial and wouldn’t see results for eight or ten years, even if that project had more direct tangible benefit to our collective welfare than Apollo, could we sustain the required momentum?  I fear the answer is, not a chance in hell.

It would seem that as a country we’ve lost our collective ability to plan more than a short time into the future.  This is most evident in politics where everyone is playing for the best leverage in the next election with little regard for what’s best for the country.  Our leaders look to polls and surveys to see what the popular position will be.

Industry isn’t much better.  Long term investment is down.  It’s all about how to maximize share price and next quarter’s balance sheet.  Executives are mostly looking to make a quick name for themselves so they can hop to the next multi-million dollar job.

And consumers aren’t immune either.  How many are putting off buying that new flat screen or living room set rather than saving for their kids’ college or their own retirement?  How many buy houses they have no hope of paying off?

What led us to this state is less certain, but it would be hard to argue that we are here.  Is our desire for immediate gratification driven by marketing messages?  You can have it all, now.  Why wait?  Alternatively, perhaps it’s the inundation with media and information.  There’s so very much to process in the here and now that’s it’s difficult to think about the future.  Or perhaps it is the uncertainty of the future itself that fuels our short attention span.  The world is changing so very fast that glimpsing the world our children will live in is very difficult.  There are so many possible futures that it’s just easier to live in the now and let the future fall where it may.

I don’t personally think it seems so bleak.  It’s not clear what has driven this change, but as long as we are this short sighted, we are unlikely to ever return to the hay-day for which we pine.  We desperately need some sort of collective vision of what we can become.  We will never be of one mind, but we can be of one goal.  At the fuzzy level, we are.  We all want this to be a great and prosperous country.  But that’s not an actionable goal.  It’s about as useful as your kid declaring that when he grows up he wants to be rich.

If history has a lesson for us it is that we respond to competition.  We rallied together against the Nazis.  The fear of communism drove enormous growth in science and technology, and in large part was likely the underlying driving force behind Apollo.  We have enemies now in Al Qaeda and the Taliban, but they are not useful as competition.  We need something larger, something that demands more of us.  I’m thinking China.  Economically, China is the largest looming threat on the planet.  Not that they are evil or anything, or that we even need to hate them.  But they may well be in a position a decade hence to just buy us for petty cash.  We could do with a healthy desire to beat them at that game.  To rebuild our own economy, infrastructure, and industrial base to out compete them in the global market.  This is a challenge worthy of the people who put a man on the moon.  And wouldn’t it be nice to be a part of something productive again?

Now, if only we had a Kennedy to inspire us…

Tortured Logic

July 26th, 2010

Here’s a plan, let’s outsource a large portion of government jobs as a way of creating private sector employment.  Let that sink in for a moment.  Wait until you get the uncontrollable urge to smack yourself on the forehead… then go ahead and give in a good whack.  There you go.

Yet this is Cal Thomas’ latest proposal.  Now I grant you that I almost always find Thomas to be wrong.  In fact, I was having a little trouble coping with a column he wrote a couple weeks back on Law and Marriage because I thought he raised an interesting point.  I figured I must be missing something.  But rarely does Thomas put forth an idea which is is so demonstrably wrong as his plan to outsource government jobs.

Let’s follow the dollars here for a moment.  Taxes are collected.  Out of those taxes, money is budgeted to pay for a government service.  The government service contracts with a private company to fulfill that service.  The private company hires someone to do the job.  Connect all the dots, and that person’s wages are being paid with tax dollars.  Yet somehow this counts as private sector employment?

Keep in mind, this is the same crowd who would strictly oppose those same tax dollars being spent for that same purpose if the same person was hired by the government rather than the private company to do the job.  They would also oppose those tax dollars being given as a grant to a private company to do a function.

What if the government were to cut out the middleman and just buy the company and run it for the purposes of doing the job?  That’s textbook Socialism, and is so wrong Cal Thomas would just stroke out.

If you’re an advocate for small government, then fine.  But you can’t get there by outsourcing government jobs to the private sector.  Those are still jobs being paid for by tax dollars, and additionally, taxes are paying for the profit the private company has to make as well.  That’s not to say outsourcing is always a bad idea.  But you can’t count it as private sector employment.  Geezsh!

Is Cheerleading a Sport?

July 23rd, 2010

A US judge in Connecticut says no, cheerleading is not a sport, at least under Title IX.  As a consequence, he’s ruled Quinnipiac University can’t drop its girls volleyball team because the competitive cheer team doesn’t count as an alternative.

It’s worth noting the ruling seems to be more on the organization of cheerleading than the team or the activity.  An activity can be considered a sport under Title IX if it meets specific criteria. It must have coaches, practices, competitions during a defined season and a governing organization. The activity also must have competition as its primary goal.  In this case, it seems the lack of a governing organization and a defined season schedule were mostly to blame.

Still, cheerleading is left in an odd position.  No sane person could argue that today’s cheerleaders are not athletes and do not train hard.  The physical exertion, the injuries, the demanding coaches, and the long hours in the gym are on par with any other sport.  Further, anyone who’s ever been to a cheer competition, could not remotely claim this is not a competitive activity.  And if you think the kids are motivated, you should see how rabid the fans are.

I personally believe that the biggest detriment to cheerleading being accepted as a sport is its legacy.  It was historically a sideline activity for another sport.  And vestiges of that remain today.  School cheer teams are often required to still adorn the sidelines of games.  And in many cases, the cheerleaders consider this a nuisance that distracts them from their real focus and their real passion, the competitions. It seems that cheerleading would be way better off if it renamed itself to something like Synchronized Gymnastics and left all the sideline activities and the school spirit behind.

Competition cheerleading is part dance and part choreographed aerobics all blended with a healthy dose of tumbling.  Yes, it’s a judged sport, but so is gymnastics.  And like gymnastics, there are standards and required moves.  Yes, there’s a ridiculous amount of attention on hair and makeup, but synchronized swimming and ice skating have similar aesthetic requirements.

There is only one truly unique aspect to cheerleaders.  Something I don’t think any name change or official recognition will ever make different.  It’s something I call autophotoassemblage.  If you are in the vicinity of a group of cheerleaders and give any indication you are inclined to take a picture of them, they will magically self-arrange into a group pose and turn on a smile.  Even just removing the lens cap from your camera is often enough.  You never have to pose them.  Sometimes they’ll fuss with a few positions before the shot settles, but you just need to wait with your camera until everyone is still.  Click.  It’s a great picture.  In fact, I don’t think it’s even possible to take a bad picture of cheerleaders.

Titans' Cheer

While I don’t think autophotoassemblage should in any way inhibit cheerleading from being recognized as a sport, it remains one of the great mysteries of the universe.

The Tax Myth

July 22nd, 2010

It is said that no one escapes death and taxes, and certainly neither are popular.  In the current political climate there is much gnashing of teeth over taxes.  Mostly because we’ve pretty much exhausted our collective political angst over death during the healthcare debate.

The prevailing wisdom is that taxes are too high and we must reduce them to provide relief for families and to provide for investment in small businesses and other economic growth factors.  But that “wisdom” defies the facts at hand.  Granted, no one like paying taxes, but tax rates are currently lower than at any time since World War II.  Under Obama, the first tax bracket has been reduced to 10%.  Even the second bracket of 15% is essentially the same or lower than the first bracket has been in 50 years (excepting a brief dip under Reagan).  Meanwhile, the top bracket is ridiculously lower than at almost any time since 1942.

Tax RatesBut the pain is real.  Families struggle to make ends meet, and this was true even before the most recent recession and the large unemployment numbers.  Why can’t middle class America, at least the ones with jobs, comfortably make ends meet?

While taxes are a convenient demon, as we see from the data, they’re a false one.  Taxes aren’t hurting us.  However, there has been a very real erosion in purchasing power in the average American home.  If you compound the Consumer Price Index from 1990 to 2008, your income would need to have risen by 75% over that 18 year span just to be able to live at the same level now you did back then.  But average household income across that same period only rose 60%.  And that doesn’t even take into account the increase in the number of two-income households over that same period.  In many cases there are multiple people or people holding down multiple jobs just to get up to that 60% mark.

So yes, there is a definite reality to the feeling that you are working for less.  But it’s not Uncle Sam that’s killing you.  At least not the IRS part.

Tea & Caucus

July 21st, 2010

BachmannThis morning, Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann is to be announced as the leader of the House’s Tea Party Caucus.  Columnist Derek Wallbank wonders who will have the big brass ones to stand up with her in this alliance?  Apparently about 10 fellow legislators have signed on, but many Republicans are wary of aligning too closely with the Tea Party.

The GOP is in a tough spot here.  The Tea Party increasingly constitutes its most fervent and loyal base, and you wouldn’t want to distance yourself from that group.  Especially when you consider how successful the Tea Party has become at dislodging Republicans off the GOP ballot who don’t cater to their worldview.  But the public perception of the Tea Party by those outside it is of a radical fringe type group that’s just a hair-trigger away from an armed revolution.  Aligning with such a group marginalizes the independent voters and leaves GOP Congressmen vulnerable in the general election.

Many, both inside and outside the Tea Party have correctly pointed out that it is the extreme teabaggers that get all the press coverage and that many in the movement are espousing reasonable positions.

I believe it’s true that the Tea Party is not all or even mostly made up of birthers, conspiracy theorists, anarchists, and white supremacists.  I further believe the press does provide excessive coverage of the loonies, because, well… it’s not news when the bus arrives on time, only when it crashes.  But it’s hard for them to claim victimhood when the most public faces of the Tea Party are people like Bachmann, Sarah Palin, Rand Paul, and Sharon Angle.  The press didn’t anoint these folks, the Tea Party movement did.

Bachmann in particular is so out of touch with reality that the MN Progressive Project has taken to calling her Princess Sparklepony.  She fears the census.  She’s convinced The Fed is conspiring to create a global currency.  She believes the healthcare bill promotes abortion and rations your care.  She’s not worried about global warming because Jesus will save the planet.  It goes on and on and on.  She used to frighten me a little, but it’s gone so far that it’s just comical.  Unless you’re from Minnesota, then it’s just embarrassing.

So here’s a little free political advice for the Tea Party.  If you want to be taken seriously by people who don’t have a ready supply of pitchforks and torches and a hankerin’ to storm the castle, you need to put serious people out in front of your movement.   Princess Sparklepony is perhaps not the most inspired choice.

Praying for Atheists

July 19th, 2010

Christopher Hitchens, one of the so-called Four Horseman of the new atheists, has esophageal cancer.  Should you pray for him?  The Rev. Robert Barron thinks so, yet countless atheists and theists alike are having a fit about it.

Let me start with the disclaimer that while I do wish Hitchens well in his treatment and recovery, even though I’m also an atheist, I’m not a fan.  ‘The Four Horsemen’ – Dawkins, Dennett, Harris, Hitchens (video) preach what is now being referred to as “new atheism”.  I would characterize it more properly as antitheism rather than atheism as they don’t simply lack a belief in God, they are advocating against it.  Something I cannot support at all.  Further, I believe in large part they give the lot of us a bad name.

However, I do have a perspective on the dilemma of praying for atheists as I went through this myself.  A few years back I was diagnosed with a brain tumor.  It was benign and wasn’t as scary as cancer, but it was scary enough.  Scary enough that a few of my Christian friends wondered if this event would lead me back to God.  I thought the notion was naive, but not too surprising given the popular saying that there are no atheists in foxholes.  The premise being that when facing death, one always finds comfort in religion.  Although, I think most people, including myself, who have made rational and considered choices to be atheists have long since considered the realities of death and its inherent lack of an afterlife.  I’m quite at peace with that.  In fact, I’m actually comforted by the finality of death.  I’m in no hurry mind you.  But when I get to that end, I’m okay with it actually being an end.

The other interesting question I got, both directly and indirectly, was whether or not it would be okay to pray for me.  It was interesting and even considerate for people to ask.  At the time, I couldn’t see how this could possibly offend me, but based on some of the reactions to Hitchens’ situation, apparently some people really get their shorts in a bunch over this.

I’ve thought about this notion of prayer directed at non-believers from both my perspective and the perspective of the theist, and I’m still perplexed about how there is a downside for anyone.  As an atheist, I don’t believe someone’s prayers are actually influencing my health.  However, the fact that people care enough to exert that effort is touching.  It means they care about me, and that is a healthy thought for anyone.  On the flip side, the theist believes they are actually making a difference.  They have a feeling of contributing to my health.  That’s a healthy thing for them. And if their God should really exist and opt to intervene, all the better for both of us!

If there’s a downside here it’s not remotely apparent.  So follow your heart.  Do what feels right.  If you’re a theist, pray for whom you wish.  If you’re an atheist, be grateful people care.  Above all, remember that whether you believe in another life or not, this one is all too short.

Inside, Outside, Upside-down

July 17th, 2010

Snoopy for PresidentWhat makes a good President?  Is Obama one?  Would Sarah Palin be?  I got to thinking about this after an innocent Facebook post of Kim’s on the Bristol-Levi engagement somehow turned into a rant that included the claim that as President, Palin “OBVIOUSLY could have done a better job than Obozo.”  Something clearly not obvious to me, but the commenter was on a tear.  While she didn’t express overall support for Palin, she made it pretty clear she thought an untrained beagle fresh off the Daisy Hill Puppy Farm would be a better choice than our current Commander-in-Chief.

The issue she had was not so much with the policies as with the man.  And this seems a fairly common theme among Obama’s detractors.  It’s not clear there is any policy he could back that would appease them.  And Sarah Palin generates similar enmity amongst her detractors.  Policy aside, she appears to them as simply an unqualified person or the job.  Yet I would venture there are pretty few people in common among those two groups.

Now in Obama’s case there is undoubtedly some latent racism going on, and in Palin’s case, some latent sexism.  But I don’t think that accounts for the vast level of personal discomfort these two polarizing figures generate.  I think it’s something more insidious.

It is perhaps useful to contrast Obama and Palin against two of our more effective Presidents in recent history.  Reagan and Clinton both had tenures including significant accomplishment while maintaining fairly good approval ratings.  Sure, they each had their scandals, but history seems to be ranking them roughly even, and head and shoulders above any other Presidents in my lifetime.

It strikes me that what these two men had in common was the ability to deal with complexity while conveying simplicity.  The issues a President must deal with are massively complex.  Not only the political process itself, but the economy, foreign policy, domestic policy, etc. all are gruesomely intricate and interwoven systems.  Sure, anyone can surround themselves with experts, but actually understanding and interpreting the information from multiple experts across a wide field of topics requires a keen intelligence.  And both of these guys could cut it.

Yet the cruel reality of American culture is that we inherently distrust intellectuals.  While we worship those who are tougher than us, thinner than us, better athletes than us, better singers than us, or even more beautiful, we can’t stand a smartypants. Ironically, while we’ll aspire to be thinner, more beautiful, or in better shape, our response to someone who is our intellectual superior is not aspiration or inspiration, but rather we try to tear them down to our level.  How dare they try to come off as smarter than us?

Reagan and Clinton both realized we like our reality pre-digested and boiled down to something we can absorb in a 30-second news feature.  They were also masters of taking the abstruse and simplifying it, then presenting it in non-threatening and inspirational ways.  They could motivate people toward the essence of a plan without burdening them with its inherent complexities.

Comparing that to Obama and Palin we see two very different things.  They are each half of the equation that Reagan and Clinton used.  Obama is clearly up to the intellectual challenge.  He’s smart enough to be President, but he lacks the ability to convey a simplicity to his policies.  He makes people feel lectured to rather than inspiring them toward a useful abstraction.  The result is that he too often inspires fear and loathing rather than action and support.

On the flip side, Palin does a great job of selling simple ideas and inspiring people toward action and support.  The problem is, she seems to really believe the world is that simple.  There’s no evidence she’s up to the intellectual challenge of being President when the cameras aren’t rolling.  In fact, there’s a fair bit of evidence she isn’t.  In many ways, this is the same failing George W. Bush had.  He was a likable enough guy, he had a certain folksy charm and did a fair job of making his points.  But he lacked the intellectual depth to perform the core duties of President, and the country and his legacy suffered for that.

In the era previous to cable news and the Internet, wonky intellectuals could roam the White House halls as effective leaders.  But Obama would seem to be the poster child for why those days are gone.  Personally, I’m not troubled by that.  I admire intellectuals.  I want my leaders to be smarter than me.  But I think people like me are in a minority.

Ideally, future Presidents will have the magic mix of complexity on the inside and simplicity on the outside.  In the meantime, I assert long and loud that we are so very much better off with an effective intellectual executive who can’t seem to get his message right than being upside-down with a shallow overly simplistic talking head who is loved by the cameras but can’t fly the desk.

Inconceivable

July 15th, 2010

TP BillboardThe North Iowa Tea Party took the initiative to put up a billboard comparing Obama to Lenin and Hitler.  In a rare fit of sanity, other factions of the Tea Party have denounced the sign as unhelpful.  Even the co-founder of the group responsible for the billboard said, “The purpose of the billboard was to draw attention to the socialism. It seems to have been lost in the visuals.”

Still, this group was hardly unique in trying to paint Obama as the lost grandson of Hitler.  Tea Party rallies are rife with such signs, and Glenn Beck spends so much time talking about Nazis the History Channel is starting to feel encroached on.

Moreover, there is such delicious irony in the tag line, “RADICAL LEADERS PREY ON  THE FEARFUL & NAIVE.”  Really?  We can argue about naive, but preying on fears has become the cornerstone strategy of conservatives.  Karl Rove practically made a science of it.  Can you say 9/11?  And are not the comparisons to historical tyrants and despots intended entirely to prey on fears?

Even ignoring the comparisons, what no one is backing off from is labeling Obama a “socialist”.  All seem to agree this is the important message of this sign in particular, and of the Tea Party and Conservatives more generally.  We will hear this socialist chant shouted long and hard as we ramp up to the elections.  But isn’t that just fear mongering as well?  It’s pretty indisputable that the specter of socialism induces fear in the electorate.  So the only real question is whether or not the label is factual.

What is socialism?  Merriam-Webster’s defines it as:

Main Entry: so·cial·ism
Pronunciation: \ˈsō-shə-ˌli-zəm\
Function: noun
Date: 1837

1 : any of various economic and political theories advocating collective or governmental ownership and administration of the means of production and distribution of goods
2 a : a system of society or group living in which there is no private property b : a system or condition of society in which the means of production are owned and controlled by the state
3 : a stage of society in Marxist theory transitional between capitalism and communism and distinguished by unequal distribution of goods and pay according to work done

Socialism (created by Tim's Cogitorium)Are any of those things even close to happening in this country?  Had the government opted to temporarily nationalize the banks instead of using TARP and just throwing cash at them, then that would have been socialism—at least a little bit for a little while.  But it should be noted that despite calls by some economists to do exactly that, Obama consistently rejected that strategy.

What about healthcare?  Even the public option, which Obama also backed away from, would not be socialist medicine.  Britain has socialist medicine.  All the hospitals are owned by the state.  All doctors are federal employees.  Nothing remotely like that was ever proposed here.  At the extreme, the proposal on the table was Medicare for all citizens.  But Medicare is not socialized medicine.  At best, it could be argued to be socialized insurance.

Let’s be clear.  If the income tax was raised to 90% and the government took to dropping cash from helicopters over poor neighborhoods that would not be socialism.  It would be stupid.  But it wouldn’t be socialist.  The term is used entirely because it inspires fear.  Something radical leaders do use to prey on the naive.  Hmmmm…

Belly Buttons

July 14th, 2010

Belly ButtonThere are innies, outies, and the occasional pierced one (and whatever the hell you classify that picture to the the right as), but right after that, belly buttons get pretty darned uninteresting.  Or do they?

So-called scientists are claiming belly buttons are the key to determining your athletic prowess.  I mean sure, if you can hang a bottle out of yours, you probably aren’t too athletically inclined.  But otherwise, this seems a non-intuitive relationship.

Yet these folks are claiming that how far your belly button is off the floor (after adjusting for height differences) will determine if you are a runner or a swimmer.  High navels make you a runner and low navels make you a swimmer.

Further, Africans tend toward high navels and Europeans toward low, which apparently explains why blacks dominate track & field while whites rule the pool.  Yet they go on to note that belly button height is really correlated to body type.  That is, if you have longer legs your navel is relatively higher than a person of the same overall height with short legs and a long torso.  Duh.  The Duh-plus is that people with long legs have an advantage on the track while long torsos are an advantage to swimmers.

So while the whole belly button claim makes for a great headline, all that’s really being said is runners should be tall with long legs and swimmers should be tall with long torsos.  Anybody who’s ever watched the Summer Olympics on TV should already have had a handle on that.  Or is it news that blacks tend toward longer legs while whites tend toward long bodies?  Hardly.

Therefore, I guess we really didn’t learn much here today.  Except that maybe if you can hang a bottle out of your belly button that you absolutely should.  Because your husband is really gonna need a drink when he gets home.

I’m Thin! …or not

July 13th, 2010

Neck MeasureThe journal Pediatrics announced (via CNN) that the BMI measurement is maybe not so accurate, and suggests you measure your neck instead.  Eh?

On the one hand, I thought this was great news as I’ve always found the BMI a bit depressing.  BMI calculators always peg me as just a couple of points into the “Overweight” category.  But like most men I’m able to rationalize my weight as being right where it should be.  Especially if I’m about to go out for chicken wings.  Further, the article says the trouble with BMI is, “it deems athletes or muscular people to be obese and underestimates body fat in older people.”  I’m not “older people” yet, so I must be athletic or muscular.  Cool.

And now this neck thing is poised to validate my svelte rationalization.  Let’s check the table:

Based on age, a neck of this circumference or larger could indicate overweight or obesity, researchers say:
Boys

Age 6: 11.2 inches
Age 10: 12.6 inches
Age: 14: 14.2 inches
Age 18: 15.4 inches
Girls
Age 6: 10.6 inches
Age 10: 12 inches
Age 14: 12.6 inches
Age 18: 13.6 inches

Source: Pediatrics

Okay, so I dig out a tape and measure my neck and… crap!  I’m a solid half-inch overweight.  ARRRGHHHH!!!  Oh wait… muscular people have bigger necks.  That must be it.  Yes, I just have a sinewy neck.  Of course.  Well now that I’ve got that all worked out, maybe I should fire up the grill and make a double bacon cheeseburger.  Yum!

Bloody Data Plans

July 12th, 2010

Back at the dawn of computing we had dial-up service (with acoustic couplers for my fellow old geeks out there). Sure it was slow, but it was portable in a way that we’ve lost with current data plans. That is, as long as you knew your access number and login credentials, you could connect any device you wanted to the network. Companies even facilitated this portability by providing local access numbers or toll-free numbers so you could connect anything from anywhere you had a phone line.

When broadband came into our homes, by it’s nature it was anchored to a single location. Providers initially toyed with charging for each connected computer, similar to the way the phone company of my youth used to charge for each telephone in the house. But that quickly gave way to allowing home networking and allowing you to connect all your devices over a single broadband connection for a single price.

Cell TowerThen along came cell phones and wireless service.  Initially, as a second phone service, and often a second company, cell phones charged independently from your home phone.  Further, the need for each phone to have a publicly known number and for calls to be connected to the device reasonably meant that each phone was billed separately.  This would have been analogous to adding a second phone line to your house.

However, phones have now progressed to where even calling them phones is a bit of an anachronism.  They are small handheld computers or data devices.  Even voice services, thanks to Skype, Google Voice and other mobile VoIP services, flies over the data side now.  And data networks are inherently organized such that multiple devices can connect without additional service provider overhead, the same as they do in the broadband case.

Further, people are now more likely to have multiple devices to connect.  Sure, they have a smartphone, but increasingly they also have an iPad or Kindle, and maybe a wireless data card for their laptop or a MiFi.  Although one of the largest barriers to people grabbing on to all these tech options is that the wireless providers are still insisting that each device is a separate phone line and needs a separate wireless plan.  There’s no technical reason for this, but it helps them pad their bottom line.

Adding to the confusion is the roll-out of various 4G services.  This means wireless data at DSL speeds.  Given that many people have already tossed their landline phones as a cost saving measure, how long before people start to wonder why they pay for broadband at home when wireless service in the house is just as good?  But under current business models you’d be back to paying to connect every device in your house as a separate billable connection.

At some point, it seems that either competition, regulation, or a maybe a consumer revolt should come along and start consolidating all the data plans.  Voice, texting, television, broadband data, and wireless data are all just different content running over the same network.  It makes no sense to pay multiple connection fees to the same thing.  There needs to be a new pricing model.

Ideally, I want to pay a flat fee for access to the network.  That could be at the family, household, or even at the personal level.  But having paid that fee, I can use data anywhere on any device I choose.  I can talk, text, blog, or watch TV.  Data is data.  Then in addition, I’m fine with certain content providers charging for access to their content.  NBC might choose to offer their programming free and offset that with ad revenue, while the New York Times might charge $2/week to see their articles.  Meanwhile the Travel Channel will sell me a season pass to Man vs. Food.  Then it becomes my choice.

Right now, a great deal of the innovation happening in this country is happening in the wireless application space.  Cloud computing, tablets, netbooks, smartphones are all offering to make our lives more connected with more access to our stuff in more places.  But the advances are being dramatically gated by the lack of affordable data connectivity.  As I’ve said before, the Internet is every bit as vital a part of our national infrastructure as electricity.  We can’t afford to treat it more casually.  And the challenges we face are not simply technical, but are business model challenges as well.

Bible Belt Science

July 10th, 2010

Ensconced in the northeastern US, it’s sometimes easy to not see what passes for a normal school day in vast portions of the country, and it’s often hard to see how this impacts our economy and our future.  But that makes it no less real.

To start, take a gander at the video below.  It shows a glimpse of a high school science classroom in Dayton, TN.  The teacher is an unabashed creationist.   He rationalizes that he gives actual science a fair hearing, but also admits to giving equal weight to supernatural (i.e. non-scientific) explanations.  His students are clearly young-Earth creationists, and he admits he would do nothing to dissuade that.  The final student is perhaps the most shocking as he can’t fathom how an African-American person would evolve from a white person.  The level of ignorance expressed in that one statement suggests these kids are actually exposed to frightfully little science.

It would be nice to dismiss this classroom as an anomaly, but that’s simply not the case.  In general, kids on the coasts are mostly free of this sort of religious intrusion in schools.  Still, some are taught “alternative science” in their churches that refutes the classroom science.  But I suppose in these cases it at least creates a genuine two-sided debate.  And while students may not “believe” in science, they can at least explain it.   Yet in the country’s heartland, there is not even a 2-sided discussion.  The students are graduating as science illiterate.

Where’s the harm in that, you might ask?  After all, these students may be science illiterate, but they are God-fearing, moral, upright, and productive additions to their local communities.  Isn’t that a good thing?  Yes, but…

For the latter half of the 20th Century, the US was the undisputed economic powerhouse on the planet.  Our middle class bloomed and the country enjoyed the most prosperous period of its history.  What drove that?  Science and technology.  The US grew and attracted the brightest and most innovative minds.  We generated the technology and the subsequent industry that was exported around the globe.  It can be claimed without hyperbole that the economy was driven by our mastery of science.

Today we see our economy flagging.  And I don’t mean just the latest disaster.  Throughout most of the last decade our economy has been based on our ability to game the markets and banking system.  Meanwhile, other countries have arisen to fill the technology void.  Korea, China, Taiwan, India, and others have taken over the mantle of innovation and industry. They are ascending.  Us, not so much.

It’s no coincidence that US students are now consistently ranked around 17th out of the top 30 industrial nations in science and math skills.  We usually rank right about the same level as Turkey.  It’s not that we don’t produce any bright geeky students.  We do.  But we don’t produce the volume required to compete effectively in global markets against countries who grow engineers like we grow corn.

The counter-argument is often that teaching creationism as science might stunt a student’s biology career, but it shouldn’t keep us from producing scads of software engineers and physicists.  But I say that’s sophistry.  First, a lot of the innovation space with our rapidly aging populace is in medicine and biology, so we do need people who really understand the life sciences.  But moreover, when a child’s early exposure to science of any flavor is basically that a bunch of whackos in lab coats have this nutty idea, but really the way the world works is something else, they learn an inherent distrust of science in general.  Why would a student want to pursue a career using the same fundamental techniques that yielded such “flawed theories” as evolution?  It requires a pretty significant cognitive dissonance to believe that biology, geology, anthropology, cosmology, and several other sciences are fundamentally wrong, but quantum physics is right on the money.

So yes, it does matter to me that students far from here are learning that science is hooey.  It matters to me not because it’s any sort of personal affront to me, but because it diminishes the future of our country.  We all want our children to grow up and be more prosperous and better off than we were.  But I fear that won’t be true.  Religious faith is a good thing for many people.  But you can’t build industry around it.  You can’t export it.  And you can’t eat it. Religion has its place, but we allow it to dilute science at our own peril.

Christian Vandalism

July 9th, 2010

Much ado has been made over last week’s defacement of a secular organization’s billboard in North Carolina. I personally thought this was kind of a non-event.  But then Chrissy Satterfield had to go and defend the vandalism as God’s work.

Billboard

The billboard was hardly an overtly atheistic statement. After all, the snippet reflects the Pledge of Allegiance as originally written in 1892, and as it was up until the insertion of the words “under God” in 1954.  Yet it was still a clear jab, and was kind of asking for it.  So when I initially heard this news I just smiled.  Somewhat ironically, the defacement of the billboard called national attention to a message that otherwise would have gone largely unnoticed on a local highway.  Whatever.

But then Satterfied had to go and declare the vandalism as a sign from God.

Just when I start believing there is no hope for our country I get a little reminder from my God that all is not lost. …so the vandals inserted “Under God” with spray paint – and I couldn’t be more relieved. It’s nice to know that I am not alone in my beliefs and that some people are still willing to stand on the right side of truth.

I also need to extend a thank you to some people in Sacramento and Detroit. In February, 10 atheist billboards were defaced in the Golden State and a slew of atheist bus ads were vandalized in Detroit. My dose of honesty this week: I am not happy that vandalism seems to be the only way to get an atheist’s attention. I’m happy that I can count on other Christians to stand up for themselves and for Christians everywhere. It gives me hope.

She does bother to point out that she would never encourage vandalism, but apparently she isn’t above being grateful for it.  Whatever.  The real issue I have is with her statement about the organization who put up the billboard.

They probably figured that because the Bible teaches Christians to turn the other cheek, we’ll just take their abuse forever. We will only take so much before we stand up against our oppressors.

Ummm… maybe she has a version of the bible I’m unfamiliar with, but Matthew 5:38-40 says:

38“You have heard that it was said, ‘Eye for eye, and tooth for tooth.’[a] 39But I tell you, Do not resist an evil person. If someone strikes you on the right cheek, turn to him the other also. 40And if someone wants to sue you and take your tunic, let him have your cloak as well.

Jesus doesn’t seem to be saying just put up with it until it pisses you off.  And even if he did feel that rebellion was appropriate at some point, are we to believe that having your possessions  taken is forgivable, but billboards are over the line?  If she wants to advocate for small crimes as free speech and appropriate expressions of outrage, fine.  But I fail to see she has any grounds to justify those actions as being what Jesus would do.

Further, “stand up against our oppressors.” Seriously?  Secular beliefs in the US hover in the mid-single digit percentages.  Less than 2% of Americans self-identify as atheists.  In the vast majority of the country an atheist couldn’t be elected dog catcher.   How bad can the oppression possibly be?

In Jesus’ time, Christians were oppressed and persecuted.  The Jews of the Old Testament were similarly downtrodden.  In fact, most all of the bible is written to preach a message of hope to the hopeless.  It’s one of the reasons the Abrahamic religions found such purchase among the commoners of Europe and the Middle East.  But that was then.  No one sends Christians to the lions anymore.  Yet I do wonder sometimes if this victim mentality somehow survives despite Christians being the vast majority of the population of western counties and the driving cultural force of western society.

To Chrissy: on behalf of myself and the handful of other atheists in your midst, mea culpa.  We’ll try to be more careful so as to not rattle the panes in your glass mansion as we ride by on our bikes.