If you’re like most of us, you recognize that the current financial crisis is way complicated, and becoming way too politicized. Follow the link to a pretty lucid explanation of the situation and the implications of the bailout plan. The blog post doesn’t have a political agenda. It just seems to explain what is and isn’t going on. Well worth the read.
Archive for September, 2008
Financial Perspective
September 29th, 2008It’s Debatable
September 27th, 2008Last night’s Presidential Debate was remarkable mostly in that it was unremarkable. Still, the reality of American politics is that what was actually said is not nearly as important as how people feel about the event the morning after.
In reviewing the reactions, one point kept striking me. Several people remarked that Obama seemed all doom and gloom, saying we needed to fix all these things in order to succeed. Meanwhile, McCain seemed to feel that this was the greatest country on Earth, and his policies would just make it even better.
What was most striking is that this analysis was leveled as a criticism of Obama. This, despite the fact that some 80% of Americans believe the country is on the wrong path. Isn’t the first step toward any recovery admitting that you have a problem? There seems to be some troubling cognitive dissonance here. To my mind, I want a leader who recognizes that we have problems. Who wants to do more than tweak the system for incremental improvment. We are not merely in need of a course correction.
Maybe the issue is that while many Americans recognize we are on the wrong path, they are scared to deviate much from the path as they are comfortable with it. Change brings uncertainty, and that can be scary. This seems to be the core philosophy of the Conservatives. Change is bad. Let’s stick with what we know. If things get ugly, we’ll just do those same old things harder and faster. But those are the policies that got us where we are. The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results. That doesn’t mean that insanity is not a comfortable place, but it doesn’t make it a desireable one.
Bumper Sticker of the Day
September 25th, 2008The Dangers of American Exceptionalism
September 25th, 2008I was trying to briefly convey the point at dinner last night that America needs to get over it’s pride and come to terms with the reality that as a country we are no longer on the ascendancy. Our time in the barrel has passed. Granted, we’ve been in this position pretty much since World War II, but prior to that were very much just another country on the map. We seem to have forgotten that. And we seem to feel that if we aren’t on top, then we’re nothing. I don’t believe that. I don’t believe that not being the rising star suddenly means you’re a global embarrassment. We had our day in the sun. For awhile at least, it will be China and India’s turn, much as it was England and France’s turn before us. We even have the opportunity to make it our turn again. But that requires work we’re not yet prepared to do because we can’t yet cope with the reality of our current position.
In a fit of good timing, Roger Cohen makes much the same point in this morning’s paper. It’s time to get over ourselves already.
David Letterman Reacts to John McCain Suspending Campaign
September 25th, 2008Dinner Chatter
September 23rd, 2008Ahhh… another confounding dinner at home with the boys. It started with a reference to the ubiquity of computers and Doug noted that you probably couldt go into any house in America and find computers. Maybe not a PC, but the kind embedded into TVs, microwaves, cars, cell phones, and digital watches. He quickly amended, “except for Amish houses.”
This led to a discussion of whether or not the Amish would remain computer free forever. After all, they have adopted some technology over the years. For example, they use small engines, and while those engines are typically older and computer-free for now, it’s likely they’ll have some form of digital control circuitry in years to come.
Which naturally leads to a question about how the Amish decide what’s legal and what’s not. I explained that from my understanding, each sect has a council of elders who decide for their group how much tech is too much, and different sects make different decisions. But it wasn’t at all clear to me if the goal was to just keep a certain pace behind the mainstream or if they were trying to cling to the 19th century forever. I can’t help but wonder if they’d be allowed to use an OLPC Laptop since it is powered by a hand crank. Maybe it would be okay if it only ran DOS?
And speaking of groups with indecipherable rules, the topic quickly jumped to vegans. Okay, we get that they don’t eat meat, nor will they consume cheese or eggs or wear leather or fur. But what about oil? That comes from animals–ancient ones, but animals. And if oil is out that takes out plastics, transportation, motors, engines, and electricity. Being Amish is starting to look pretty good.
Further, bees are animals, and they pollinate plants, so is it okay to eat by-products of their work? What about manure for fertilizer? That’s an animal by-product. Although it was suggested that human and/or plant waste would work as well, and fortunately for us all dinner was just about over by that point. This whole discussion was degrading quickly into a circle-of-life thing where it was all too clear that you can’t step outside the circle and still call it life.
Dinner being over provided an opportunity for a bit of research. Consulting the Vegan Society we found the vegan philosophy in their Articles of Association:
…the word “veganism” denotes a philosophy and way of living which seeks to exclude — as far as is possible and practical — all forms of exploitation of, and cruelty to, animals for food, clothing or any other purpose; and by extension, promotes the development and use of animal-free alternatives for the benefit of humans, animals and the environment.
Well there’s enough wiggle room in that definition to satisfy the folks at Jello. The big hole being the statement, “as far as is possible and practical.” What’s practical could be having a steak because that’s what’s for dinner and it would be rude not to. So you can rationalize pretty much any behavior with that caveat alone.
But the one that strikes me more is the statement about exploitation and cruelty. First, there’s all the issues about what defines cruelty, and is that to the individual animal or the species as a whole? I rather like my dad’s take on this. It would be cruel to livestock to not eat them because they’ve been bred to be domestic and couldn’t survive in the wild if we just set them all free. He has a point.
It’s also clear to me from that definition that it should be okay to eat animals that weren’t killed for the purpose of eating them. In other words, if you hit a deer with your car, then it’s venison for dinner. You can’t be cruel to or exploit something that’s already dead. But I somehow suspect that “roadkill” won’t be on the menu anytime soon at your local vegan eatery.
This concludes the meal… you may now resume your normal conversation already in progress.
McCain’s Health Insurance Rx
September 20th, 2008I’ll bet McCain is wishing he’d never said this: (page 3, top of right column)
Opening up the health insurance market to more vigorous nationwide competition, as we have done over the last decade in banking, would provide more choices of innovative products less burdened by the worst excesses of state-based regulation.
Yes… that’s exactly what we need… a health insurance industry that performs more like our banking industry.
Government regulation, like most things, is a matter of having just enough. It’s a careful balancing act. It’s not a black and white issue. Don’t we need leaders intelligent enough to understand the nuance of this?
Who’s Your Political Soulmate?
September 20th, 2008ABC News has put up a quiz to see which candidate better aligns with you. (Thanks to Mom for sending it in.) It’s kind of interesting. They have specifically chosen quotes from each candidate that are not in stark contrast. The result is that the choices are far from obvious. I suspect that if you’re not a political news junkie you’ll be hard pressed to identify the speaker from the quote. Also, there’s the spin interpretation that’s hard to figure out when these texts are taken out of context. For example, it means different things when one talks about “middle class tax cuts” than when the other does. You can’t really translate the code if you don’t know which cipher to use.
In my case, the choice was still blindingly clear. I’m curious though, for people who maybe aren’t addicted to news, were your results surprising?? Feel free to share your results and impressions in the comments.
Pickin’ on the Fodder
September 19th, 2008Arrrrrr…
September 17th, 2008It’s almost September 19th again. Be warmin’ up yer pirate-speak ya scurvy dog. And in case yer one-a dem landlubbers intent on spoiling the fun… well, then click here if ya must. But don’t be comin’ back or we’ll make ya walk da plank… or keel haul ya… or say mean things about you in the comments section.
If Only the Dumb Were Dumb…
September 17th, 2008But they aren’t dumb. They have voices, and they take them to school board meetings. The residents of Brunswick County, North Carolina must be so proud that their school board is investigating whether or not to teach Creationism as an alternative to evolution. It’s tempting to yet again eviscerate the underlying case for Creationism as a scientific theory like a disoriented moose wandering through the Palin’s backyard, but the scary part of this story goes beyond the narrow scope of teaching mythology as science.
Key quote:
“I wasn’t here 2 million years ago,” Fanti said. “If evolution is so slow, why don’t we see anything evolving now?”
Is this really the bar to set for appropriate educational topics? Let’s not teach anything the community hasn’t observed first hand. After all, I can’t count to a billion. How do we really know numbers go that high?
Mr. Fanti also wasn’t here 2 thousand years ago. If Christian mythology is so real, why don’t we see any miracles happening now?
The Ugly New McCain
September 16th, 2008Richard Cohen has historically been a huge fan of John McCain. But not anymore.
Key quote:
McCain was going to fix all that. He was going to look the American people in the eyes and say, not me. I will not lie to you. I am John McCain, son and grandson of admirals. I tell the truth.But Joy Behar knew better. And so McCain lied about his lying and maybe thinks that if he wins the election, he can — as he did in South Carolina — renounce who he was and what he did and resume his old persona. It won’t work. Karl Marx got one thing right — what he said about history repeating itself. Once is tragedy, a second time is farce. John McCain is both.
Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics
September 13th, 2008It’s hard to say where the turning point was, but somewhere over the last decade the GOP has shifted from well worn and expected political tactics of truth stretching and spin doctoring to unapologetically propagating bold faced lies. Whether directly or indirectly, the lies just keep on coming. Obama is a Muslim. The Democrats are proposing to raise everyone’s taxes, Palin sold a plane on eBay or saved us money by rejecting the bridge to nowhere. It just goes on.
Paul Krugman speculates that this started back in the 2000 campaign with subtly bad math used to justify the Bush tax cuts. (Curiously, those same bad math lies are being used to justify the “change” McCain’s plan will bring us, so the classics never die.) But I think the succeess of things like selling the Iraq War and the Swift Boating of John Kerry have emboldened the GOP strategists.
From a certain perspective, it’s hard not to just be in awe. They play the press and public masterfully. They create their own truths through repitition and exposure, molding their own reality from mud and straw… and it works. 1 in 10 of us believe Obama is a Muslim. About a third of us still think Iraq had WMDs, and over a half still cling to the notion that Iraq was behind the 9/11 attacks.
Spend some time listening to AM talk radio and listen to the people calling in. The things they believe are jarring. Despite conservatives being in charge of the government for most of the last decade, they still act as if they are trying to pry themselves out from under the mantle of reckless liberalism. Further, they manufacture insult and feign injury at the slightest provocation. Witness the recent lipstick on a pig fury. (Even Bill O’Reilly came out and said this was hogwash, but the train just keeps on a rollin’.) Curiously, the GOP has adopted the simultaneous position of aggressor and victim, and they garner sympathetic coverage on both fronts.
It leaves the Democrats in a precarious position. One option is to simply get down in the mud and play the game with the Republicans. But this would bring the campaign process from farce to comic tragedy. And those of us who are thinking about what we hear don’t want to be left choosing between who can manipulate the witless with more skill. The alternative is to be left constantly on the defensive, trying to explain and expose the truth. But the reality of perception is that people who are always on the defensive tend to look guilty, whether they are or not. So they are damned if they do, and damned if they don’t. And the GOP knows this.
The Democrats are trying to take the high road here, assuming that saner heads will prevail in the long run. I applaud their ethics and moral courage, but I fear they are horribly wrong.
Terminate-her: The Sarah Palin Chronicles
September 12th, 2008If you missed the first installment of the Sarah Palin interviews on ABC like I did, you can catch up with the transcripts from ABC News. It would be interesting to hear the intonations and see the body language on this whole interview. There are a couple video clips available which help to lend context to the words.
The interview starts with questions about her experience. Does she have the chops for the job? The reality is we don’t and won’t know. She doesn’t know either. Clearly she doesn’t have a resume that screams she’s been preparing a lifetime for this job. But how many do? Government and the private sector are both rife with examples of ideal candidates failing miserably, and people who, based on their history, shouldn’t be able to find the coffee pot as being stellar performers. One this is clear though. She does not lack for self confidence, and that’s unarguably a leadership trait. She’s also a quick study. I can’t say how much she understands or whether or not she can apply the knowledge, but her brain has to feel like 10 pounds of hockey equipment stuffed in a 5 pound bag. She also exhibits poise and charisma on camera. All of these are to her credit.
Then they moved on to the religion topic. She danced the fence well. I personally think she’s rationalizing her words and trying to tame them into something less scary to the populace. Is that lying? Minimally, that’s politics. I do wonder how, in her own mind, she reconciles her faith’s God-first world view with her backpedaling explanations that could be viewed as disingenuous to her Pentecostal philosophy. But there’s no way to really get to that. It’s just a curiosity. What is in evidence from the video, and more than a little interesting, is that when they are questioning her about her statement on the war being a “task from God” she’s almost glowing with energy. I’ll be curious to see if that same passion ignites when she speaks on non-religious topics.
I would really like someone to ask her if hypothetically she could support a proposal which had majority support in the population and yet went against her beliefs. The root question being, is democracy above her faith? Do the people really have self determination, or does God’s law always prevail? And if the latter, what is God’s law, and who interprets that? And no, I don’t seriously think anyone will get to ask that, and if they did, I’m sure there would not be a useful answer.
But I digress. Meanwhile, back at the interview, the topic moved to national security and international relations. I thought this was the most telling, and to me the scariest part of what she had to say. Sure, there were comical moments like when she trotted out the Rose and Orange Revolutions like she was giving an oral essay in her social studies final, but she used them correctly, so kudos to her coach.
Take a look back at the discussion on Georgia, Russia, Iran, Israel, Pakistan, and terrorists. Over and over she draws clean bright lines between good and evil, friends and enemies. Russia is the aggressor, Georgia is the victim. She dances around her willingness to back a war with Russia, but her desire to get Georgia under NATO’s protection with the reasonable possibility that would lead to war with Russia is pointed out to her, and she seems to find that an acceptable risk because it’s the right thing to do. Iran is bad. Israel is a friend. We will support Israel in whatever they want to do. We will go after terrorists wherever they are, sovereign borders be damned. She wouldn’t explicitly endorse the Bush Doctrine (nor did she know what it was; bet she gets assigned an essay on that tonight). However, in the end she did basically endorse the idea of preemption.
There are a couple of important points here. First and foremost, the world political arena is a really complicated place. Very little is black and white. Most of GW’s failings in foreign policy are a direct result of this simplistic world view that Sarah Palin shares. Successful negotiators are able to see both sides from many angles and cope with this complexity and nuance. She gave no indication she even recognizes this, much less is capable of it. As a simple and illustrative question, I’d like to know why Russia is so clearly in the wrong for invading Georgia, but we are not wrong for invading Iraq on a premise that has been widely debunked.
Secondly, I’d like to know what the limits of her concept of preemption are. It’s apparently okay to invade a nation if you can make a compelling case that they are building up the capability to do you harm (Iraq or Iran in the interview discussion). What if the harm is not violent? If we had irrefutable evidence the Chinese were developing computer viruses capable of controlling our financial markets. What then? What if we had evidence the Mexican government planned to support illegal emigration to the US as a way of diverting wealth to their own country and depressing American wages? Is the bar set at capability or is the intent to use it required? What is the appropriate response? Is it always in kind, or could we bomb the Chinese “Silicon Valley” as a response to above scenario? And is there a slippery slope to domestic law? Is capacity to commit or planning to commit a crime itself a crime?
I doubt that she, or any politician, has direct and succinct answers to the above. But I do think the way in which they answer is telling about their world views and their decision making processes. Do they understand the implications of their actions? Do they comprehend or at least respect the degree of complexity and interrelatedness of the world? Are they thinkers, or do they play from the gut?
Sarah’s answers so far indicate she’s a rule book toting gut player. McCain has a similar bent. If that’s what you want in a leader, then I think you’ve found your ticket.
Seven Years
September 11th, 2008It has been seven years since the occurrence of the most horrific attack on American soil in our lifetime. It is a time to remember, a time to reflect. Many people are speaking today, worried that somehow we’ll forget what happened on 9/11/01. Our grandchildren may look at this as merely a date in history class, but there’s no chance any of us who experienced that day will ever forget–ever.
I’d like to reflect on President Bush’s inspirational words on November 8, 2001, in the wake of this disaster. There are several quotes from this speech that should still resonate with us today:
We are a different country than we were on September the 10th — sadder and less innocent; stronger and more united; and in the face of ongoing threats, determined and courageous. (Applause.)
This new enemy seeks to destroy our freedom and impose its views. We value life; the terrorists ruthlessly destroy it. We value education; the terrorists do not believe women should be educated or should have health care, or should leave their homes. We value the right to speak our minds; for the terrorists, free expression can be grounds for execution. We respect people of all faiths and welcome the free practice of religion; our enemy wants to dictate how to think and how to worship even to their fellow Muslims.
A terrorism alert is not a signal to stop your life. It is a call to be vigilant — to know that your government is on high alert, and to add your eyes and ears to our efforts to find and stop those who want to do us harm.
I recently received a letter from a 4th-grade girl that seemed to say it all: “I don’t know how to feel,” she said, “sad, mad, angry. It has been different lately. I know the people in New York are scared because of the World Trade Center and all, but if we’re scared, we are giving the terrorists all the power.” In the face of this great tragedy, Americans are refusing to give terrorists the power. (Applause.) Our people have responded with courage and compassion, calm and reason, resolve and fierce determination. We have refused to live in a state of panic — or a state of denial. There is a difference between being alert and being intimidated — and this great nation will never be intimidated. (Applause.)
People are going about their daily lives, working and shopping and playing, worshiping at churches and synagogues and mosques, going to movies and to baseball games. (Laughter and applause.) Life in America is going forward — and as the 4th-grader who wrote me knew, that is the ultimate repudiation of terrorism. (Applause.)
And something even more profound is happening across our country. The enormity of this tragedy has caused many Americans to focus on the things that have not changed — the things that matter most in life: our faith, our love for family and friends, our commitment to our country and to our freedoms and to our principles.
I recently received a letter from a 4th-grade girl that seemed to say it all: “I don’t know how to feel,” she said, “sad, mad, angry. It has been different lately. I know the people in New York are scared because of the World Trade Center and all, but if we’re scared, we are giving the terrorists all the power.” In the face of this great tragedy, Americans are refusing to give terrorists the power. (Applause.) Our people have responded with courage and compassion, calm and reason, resolve and fierce determination. We have refused to live in a state of panic — or a state of denial. There is a difference between being alert and being intimidated — and this great nation will never be intimidated. (Applause.)
People are going about their daily lives, working and shopping and playing, worshiping at churches and synagogues and mosques, going to movies and to baseball games. (Laughter and applause.) Life in America is going forward — and as the 4th-grader who wrote me knew, that is the ultimate repudiation of terrorism. (Applause.)
And something even more profound is happening across our country. The enormity of this tragedy has caused many Americans to focus on the things that have not changed — the things that matter most in life: our faith, our love for family and friends, our commitment to our country and to our freedoms and to our principles.
The message was clear, we need to learn from the tragedy. We may not be as trusting anymore, and our senses are heightened to threats and risks. But the thing which most thwarts the terrorists is to move on and live our lives as a productive, peaceful, and principled people. This is ultimately what the terrorists sought to destroy, not our lives, but our way of life.
No one has ever denied us as individuals or as a nation to experience and deal with our grief. But grief is a process. There are seven accepted stages of coping with grief:
- Shock & Denial
- Pain & Guilt
- Anger & Bargaining
- Depression, Reflection, and Loneliness
- The Upward Turn
- Reconstruction & Working Through
- Acceptance & Hope
As a nation, where are we? Stuck at stage 3. Try as we might, it is impossible to move beyond the collective anger and fear when the wound is constantly reopened by those whose power is contingent on propagating that culture of fear. If someone you cared about were still fearful and angry seven years after a loss, you’d be trying to get them into some sort of counseling to help them regain a healthy mental state. But as a nation, there is no such caring and objective friend we would trust to help us cope. We need to heal ourselves.
We have sacrificed over 4000 men and women and over a half-trillion dollars as a direct response to 9/11. Less stunning, but perhaps more important, is that we have allowed our political focus for seven years to be almost entirely terror focused. Meanwhile, our economy, domestic jobs outlook, trade imbalance, infrastructure, schools, energy policy, and much other work we need our government to attend to in order to preserve our way of life has been largely neglected. We have done to ourselves what no terrorist could have accomplished. We have sacrificed our freedoms and our future to appease our anger and our sense of justice. In this sense, the terrorists have won, or at least we have lost.
In the last stage of grief it is said:
You will start to look forward and actually plan things for the future. Eventually, you will be able to think about your lost loved one without pain; sadness, yes, but the wrenching pain will be gone. You will once again anticipate some good times to come, and yes, even find joy again in the experience of living.
We need to find our national joy again. We need to plan for our future, and our children’s future. This doesn’t mean we’ve forgotten the past. It doesn’t dishonor those who’ve sacrificed. Quite the opposite. The greatest monument to the sacrifice of the past is the success of the future.
